Phillies vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Tips - 26 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 25, 2025, 10:06PM | Published: Sep 24, 2025, 7:29PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Miami Marlins in Game 1 of the National League Division Series at Citizens Bank Park on Friday, beginning at 8:05am AEST.
The Phillies will have Walker Buehler (9-7, 5.13 ERA) start, up against Janson Junk (6-3, 4.27 ERA) for the Marlins.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Marlins game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Philadelphia vs Miami MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 62% chance of defeating the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Marlins: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.61, Marlins $2.40
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.20), Marlins +1.5 ($1.72)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.61 and the Marlins at $2.40.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $2.20 available at TAB.
For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.72.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Marlins (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to go over 58% of the time.
Phillies vs Marlins: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Philadelphia at $1.61 with TAB
- Line: Phillies -1.5 at $2.20 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 9 at $1.91 with TAB
These Phillies vs Marlins best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice every time.
Although the Marlins are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Phillies -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Phillies vs Marlins: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs Miami game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs Miami game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Marlins: Essential Details
The match-up between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 8:05am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Friday 26 September 2025
- Time: 8:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Miami predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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