Phillies vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Tips - 25 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 24, 2025, 10:46PM | Published: Sep 23, 2025, 7:31PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Miami Marlins in Game 191 of the National League Division Series at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, starting at 8:45am AEST.
Jesús Luzardo (14-7, 4.08 ERA) will be on the bump for the Phillies, pitting him against Ryan Weathers (2-1, 3.21 ERA) for the Marlins.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Phillies vs Marlins game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Philadelphia vs Miami MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 63% chance of beating the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Marlins: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.62, Marlins $2.35
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.35), Marlins +1.5 ($1.62)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.62 and the Marlins at $2.35.
The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $2.35 available at TAB.
For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.62.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Marlins (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Phillies vs Marlins: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Philadelphia at $1.62 with TAB
- Line: Phillies -1.5 at $2.35 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Phillies vs Marlins predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though the Marlins are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Phillies -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Phillies vs Marlins: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Miami game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs Miami match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Marlins: Essential Details
The match-up between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 8:45am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Thursday 25 September 2025
- Time: 8:45am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Miami predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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