Phillies vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Tips - 24 September 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Miami Marlins in Game 190 of the National League Division Series at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday, starting at 8:45am AEST.

The Phillies will have Cristopher Sánchez (13-5, 2.66 ERA) start, up against Edward Cabrera (7-7, 3.57 ERA) for the Marlins.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Marlins game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Wednesday's Philadelphia vs Miami MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 64% chance of winning against the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies vs Marlins: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:

• Head to Head: Phillies $1.49, Marlins $2.71
• Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.02), Marlins +1.5 ($1.81)
• Total (Over/Under 7.75 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.49 and the Marlins at $2.71.

The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $2.02 available at TAB.

For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.81.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.75 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Marlins (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 7.75-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.

Phillies vs Marlins: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Miami at $2.71 with TAB
• Line: Marlins +1.5 at $1.81 with TAB
• Total Runs: Over 7.75 at $1.91 with TAB

These Phillies vs Marlins best bets are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Marlins to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Phillies vs Marlins: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Miami game on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs Miami match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Phillies vs Marlins: Essential Details

The match-up between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 8:45am AEST on Wednesday.

• Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
• Date: Wednesday 24 September 2025
• Time: 8:45am AEST
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Philadelphia vs Miami predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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