Phillies vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Betting Tips - 13 April 2023
Apr 11, 2023, 6:22PM
The Philadelphia Phillies take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, commencing at 6:05am AEST.
The Phillies will send Zack Wheeler (0-1, 5.59 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Edward Cabrera (0-1, 5.40 ERA) for the Marlins.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Phillies vs Marlins, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.
Who will win? Phillies vs Marlins
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Philadelphia-Miami MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 62% chance of winning against the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.
More: Phillies vs Marlins Simulated 10,000 Times
Philadelphia vs Miami Betting Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.48, Marlins $2.75
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.05), Marlins +1.5 ($1.80)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.80, Under $2.05
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Phillies to win at $1.48 and the Marlins to win at $2.75.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $2.05 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.80.
The Over/Under for total runs scored sits at 8.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.80 and odds for the Under at $2.05.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 8.5 runs is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Predictions for Every MLB Game
Phillies vs Marlins MLB Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $2.75 with bet365 (3.0% edge)
- Line: Marlins +1.5 at $1.80 with bet365 (56% probability)
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $2.05 with bet365 (50% probability)
Today's Phillies vs Marlins best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Marlins to win is our recommended option because of the 3.0% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the bet365 odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Phillies vs Marlins Prediction
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Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Philadelphia vs Miami on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Philadelphia vs Miami match-up at Citizens Bank Park.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Phillies vs Marlins MLB 2023
The match-up between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 6:05am AEST on Thursday.
- Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Thursday 13 April 2023
- Time: 6:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
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