Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction and MLB Tips - 23 July 2026
Last updated: Jul 22, 2026, 10:40PM | Published: Jul 21, 2026, 6:39PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, commencing at 8:40am AEST.
The Phillies will have Aaron Nola (3-7, 5.68 ERA) start, up against Eric Lauer (4-5, 4.81 ERA) for the Dodgers.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Dodgers game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Philadelphia vs LA Dodgers MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Dodgers a 54% chance of beating the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Dodgers: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $2.05, Dodgers $1.80
- Line: Phillies +1.5 ($1.67), Dodgers -1.5 ($2.25)
- Total (Over/Under 9.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $2.05 and the Dodgers at $1.80.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Dodgers, with odds of $1.67 available at TAB.
For the favourite Dodgers (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.25.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Phillies (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 9.5-run over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Phillies vs Dodgers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: LA Dodgers at $1.80 with TAB
- Line: Dodgers -1.5 at $2.25 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 9.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Phillies vs Dodgers betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though the Phillies are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Dodgers -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Phillies vs Dodgers: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs LA Dodgers game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Philadelphia vs LA Dodgers match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Dodgers: Essential Details
The match-up between the Phillies and Dodgers at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 8:40am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date: Thursday 23 July 2026
- Time: 8:40am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs LA Dodgers predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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