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Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction and MLB Tips - 4 May 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, commencing at 8:05am AEST.

Aaron Nola (0-5, 5.40 ERA) will be on the bump for the Phillies, while the Diamondbacks are going with Brandon Pfaadt (5-1, 2.78 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Phillies vs Diamondbacks game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Philadelphia vs Arizona MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 54% chance of winning against the Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Phillies $1.80, Diamondbacks $2.05
  • Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.65), Diamondbacks +1.5 ($1.50)
  • Total (Over/Under 9.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.80 and the Diamondbacks at $2.05.

The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Diamondbacks, with odds of $2.65 available at TAB.

For the underdog Diamondbacks (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.50.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 9.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Philadelphia at $1.80 with TAB
  • Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 at $1.50 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 9.5 at $1.91 with TAB

These Phillies vs Diamondbacks betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Arizona game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs Arizona match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks: Essential Details

The game between the Phillies and Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 8:05am AEST on Sunday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Philadelphia vs Arizona predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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