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Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction and MLB Tips - 3 May 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, beginning at 8:45am AEST.

The Phillies will have Jesús Luzardo (3-0, 1.73 ERA) start, up against Merrill Kelly (3-1, 4.41 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Phillies vs Diamondbacks game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Philadelphia vs Arizona MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 58% chance of beating the Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Phillies $1.67, Diamondbacks $2.25
  • Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.29), Diamondbacks +1.5 ($1.65)
  • Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.67 and the Diamondbacks at $2.25.

The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Diamondbacks, with odds of $2.29 available at TAB.

For the underdog Diamondbacks (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.65.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Philadelphia at $1.67 with TAB
  • Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 at $1.65 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 9 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Phillies vs Diamondbacks predictions are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs Arizona game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Philadelphia vs Arizona game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks: Essential Details

The game between the Phillies and Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 8:45am AEST on Saturday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Philadelphia vs Arizona predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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