Phillies vs Cubs Prediction and MLB Tips - 12 June 2025
Last updated: Jun 11, 2025, 5:05PM | Published: Jun 10, 2025, 6:29PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the Chicago Cubs in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, commencing at 3:05am AEST.
Jesús Luzardo (5-2, 4.46 ERA) will start for the Phillies, while the Cubs will counter with Ben Brown (3-4, 5.37 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Cubs game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Philadelphia vs Cubs MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 51% chance of beating the Cubs at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Cubs: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.87, Cubs $1.95
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.85), Cubs +1.5 ($1.44)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.87 and the Cubs at $1.95.
The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Cubs, with odds of $2.85 available at TAB.
For the underdog Cubs (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.44.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cubs (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 68% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Phillies vs Cubs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Cubs at $1.95 with TAB
- Line: Cubs +1.5 at $1.44 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 9 at $1.91 with TAB
These Phillies vs Cubs predictions are based on complex simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cubs to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Phillies vs Cubs: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs Cubs game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs Cubs game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Cubs: Essential Details
The game between the Phillies and Cubs at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 3:05am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs
- Date: Thursday 12 June 2025
- Time: 3:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Cubs predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.
