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Penguins vs Maple Leafs Prediction and NHL Tips - 26 November 2023

The Pittsburgh Penguins play the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday, beginning at 11:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for Penguins vs Maple Leafs, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured below.

Who Will Win: Penguins vs Maple Leafs

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Pittsburgh-Toronto NHL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Maple Leafs a 52% chance of beating the Penguins at PPG Paints Arena.

More: Penguins vs Maple Leafs Match Centre

Penguins vs Maple Leafs: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at PPG Paints Arena are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Penguins $2.05, Maple Leafs $1.87
  • Line: Penguins +1.5 ($1.43), Maple Leafs -1.5 ($3.10)
  • Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.83, Under $2.05

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Penguins at $2.05. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Maple Leafs at $1.87.

The Penguins are listed as 1.5-goal underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with odds of $1.43 currently on offer at bet365.

For the favourite Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $3.10.

The Over/Under for Penguins vs Maple Leafs sits at 6.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.83, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $2.05.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying Under.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Penguins vs Maple Leafs: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.05 with bet365
  • Line: Penguins +1.5 at $1.43 with bet365 (69% probability)
  • Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.05 with PointsBet (52% probability)

Today's Penguins vs Maple Leafs betting tips are based on complex modelling and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.

While the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Penguins to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Penguins vs Maple Leafs: Prediction

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Pittsburgh vs Toronto on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live scores.

Penguins vs Maple Leafs: Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Penguins vs Maple Leafs? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Penguins vs Maple Leafs.

Matthews has a 9.6% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 45.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Penguins First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Sidney Crosby: 8.1% probability
  • Jake Guentzel: 6.9% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 6.1% probability
  • Reilly Smith: 5.2% probability
  • Erik Karlsson: 3.4% probability

Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Auston Matthews: 9.6% probability
  • William Nylander: 7.8% probability
  • John Tavares: 5.2% probability
  • Mitchell Marner: 4.8% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 4.1% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Penguins Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Sidney Crosby: 36.9% probability
  • Jake Guentzel: 34.7% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 31.8% probability
  • Reilly Smith: 30.0% probability
  • Erik Karlsson: 20.2% probability

Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Auston Matthews: 45.2% probability
  • William Nylander: 34.1% probability
  • John Tavares: 26.9% probability
  • Mitchell Marner: 26.7% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 24.3% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Pittsburgh vs Toronto game at PPG Paints Arena.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Penguins vs Maple Leafs: Preview

The game between the Penguins and Maple Leafs at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our predictions for Pittsburgh vs Toronto are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NHL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, tips for every NHL game, and futures probabilities for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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