Penguins vs Capitals Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 26 March 2023

Mar 24, 2023, 8:42PM

The Pittsburgh Penguins take on the Washington Capitals in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday, beginning at 11:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Penguins vs Capitals, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who will win? Penguins vs Capitals

Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Pittsburgh-Washington NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Penguins a 55% chance of defeating the Capitals at PPG Paints Arena.

More: Free Betting Guide for Penguins vs Capitals

Pittsburgh vs Washington Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at PPG Paints Arena are listed here:

Head to Head: Penguins $1.69, Capitals $2.25
Line: Penguins -1.5 ($2.70), Capitals +1.5 ($1.50)
Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Penguins to win at $1.69 and the Capitals to win at $2.25.

The Penguins are 1.5-goal favourites against the Capitals, with odds of $2.70 currently available at bet365.

For the underdog Capitals (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.50.

The Over/Under for total goals scored has been set at 6.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying Under.

More: Best Bets for Every NHL Game

Penguins vs Capitals Best Bets

Head to Head: Washington at $2.25 with bet365 (0.1% edge)
Line: Capitals +1.5 at $1.50 with bet365 (66% probability)
Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.91 with PointsBet (52% probability)

Today's Penguins vs Capitals predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Penguins have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Capitals to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the bet365 odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Penguins vs Capitals Prediction

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Pittsburgh vs Washington on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Penguins vs Capitals Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Penguins vs Capitals? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Washington's Alex Ovechkin is the most likely player to score the first goal in Penguins vs Capitals.

Ovechkin has an 8.0% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Capitals star has a 37.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Penguins First Goal Scorer Tips

Sidney Crosby: 7.6% probability
Jake Guentzel: 7.5% probability
Bryan Rust: 5.3% probability
Evgeni Malkin: 5.2% probability
Rickard Rakell: 4.5% probability

Capitals First Goal Scorer Tips

Alex Ovechkin: 8.0% probability
Tom Wilson: 4.2% probability
Dylan Strome: 4.2% probability
Nicklas Backstrom: 4.0% probability
T.J. Oshie: 3.9% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Penguins Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Jake Guentzel: 35.8% probability
Sidney Crosby: 35.2% probability
Bryan Rust: 31.3% probability
Evgeni Malkin: 28.8% probability
Rickard Rakell: 25.1% probability

Capitals Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Alex Ovechkin: 37.8% probability
Tom Wilson: 23.9% probability
T.J. Oshie: 22.1% probability
Dylan Strome: 22.0% probability
Evgeny Kuznetsov: 20.5% probability

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Pittsburgh vs Washington match-up at PPG Paints Arena.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Penguins vs Capitals NHL 2023

The match-up between the Penguins and Capitals at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday.

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals
Date: Sunday 26 March 2023
Time: 11:00am AEDT
Venue: PPG Paints Arena

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.