Patriots vs Steelers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 2, 2026
Last updated: Sep 20, 2026, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 13, 2026, 4:05AM
The New England Patriots will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 2 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, beginning at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Patriots vs Steelers game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's New England vs Pittsburgh NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Patriots a 67% chance of winning against the Steelers at Gillette Stadium.
Patriots vs Steelers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $1.43, Steelers $2.90
- Line: Patriots -4.5 ($1.91), Steelers +4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $1.43 and the Steelers at $2.90.
The Patriots are 4.5-point favourites against the Steelers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Steelers (+4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Patriots (-4.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 41.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Patriots vs Steelers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.90 with Bet365
- Line: Patriots -4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Patriots vs Steelers predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Patriots have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Steelers to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Patriots vs Steelers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Steelers at Gillette Stadium in Week 2 is the Patriots winning 23-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New England vs Pittsburgh game in Week 2, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Patriots vs Steelers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Steelers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, New England's Rhamondre Stevenson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Steelers.
Stevenson has a 10.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Patriots RB has a 41.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 10.7% probability
- TreVeyon Henderson: 6.8% probability
- Hunter Henry: 6.3% probability
- Romeo Doubs: 5.3% probability
- Mack Hollins: 5.0% probability
Steelers First TD Tips
- DK Metcalf: 7.8% probability
- Jaylen Warren: 6.8% probability
- Rico Dowdle: 6.7% probability
- Roman Wilson: 4.7% probability
- Pat Freiermuth: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 41.1% probability
- TreVeyon Henderson: 28.6% probability
- Hunter Henry: 26.9% probability
- Romeo Doubs: 22.9% probability
- Mack Hollins: 21.8% probability
Steelers Anytime TD Tips
- DK Metcalf: 33.5% probability
- Jaylen Warren: 29.8% probability
- Rico Dowdle: 29.6% probability
- Roman Wilson: 21.8% probability
- Pat Freiermuth: 21.7% probability
Patriots-Steelers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 235 passing yards, while the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is expected to throw for 215 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 235 projected passing yards
Steelers Starting QB
- Aaron Rodgers: 215 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 52 projected yards
- TreVeyon Henderson: 35 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 27 projected yards
Steelers Rushing Yards
- Jaylen Warren: 45 projected yards
- Rico Dowdle: 37 projected yards
- Aaron Rodgers: 4 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Romeo Doubs: 45 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 43 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 41 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 41 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 23 projected yards
Steelers Receiving Yards
- DK Metcalf: 61 projected yards
- Roman Wilson: 38 projected yards
- Pat Freiermuth: 34 projected yards
- Germie Bernard: 21 projected yards
- Jaylen Warren: 20 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the New England vs Pittsburgh match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Steelers: Week 2 Essential Details
The NFL Week 2 match-up between the Patriots and Steelers at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers
- Date: Monday 21 September 2026
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our New England vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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