Patriots vs Raiders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2026

The New England Patriots will take on the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 5 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, October 12, beginning at 4:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Patriots vs Raiders game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Raiders vs Patriots 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Patriots a 66% chance of beating the Raiders at Gillette Stadium.

Patriots vs Raiders: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for this NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown here:

• Head to Head: Patriots $1.50, Raiders $2.65
• Line: Patriots -3.5 ($1.91), Raiders +3.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $1.50 and the Raiders at $2.65.

The Patriots are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Raiders (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Patriots (-3.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Patriots vs Raiders: Best Bets

• Head to Head: New England at $1.50 with Bet365
• Line: Patriots -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Patriots vs Raiders betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Patriots vs Raiders: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Raiders at Gillette Stadium in Week 5 is the Patriots winning 24-20.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New England vs Las Vegas game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the New England vs Las Vegas game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Patriots vs Raiders: Week 5 Essential Details

The NFL Week 5 game between the Patriots and Raiders at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00am AEDT on Monday, October 12.

• Teams: New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders
• Date: Monday 12 October 2026
• Time: 4:00am AEDT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our New England vs Las Vegas predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.