Patriots vs Raiders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2025
Last updated: Sep 7, 2025, 5:01PM | Published: Aug 19, 2025, 6:43PM
The New England Patriots will take on the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 1 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, beginning at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Patriots vs Raiders game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's New England vs Las Vegas NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Patriots a 59% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 1 of the NFL season.
Patriots vs Raiders: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $1.67, Raiders $2.25
- Line: Patriots -2.5 ($1.91), Raiders +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $1.67 and the Raiders at $2.25.
The Patriots are 2.5-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Raiders (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Patriots and the Raiders have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 44.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Patriots vs Raiders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: New England at $1.67 with Bet365
- Line: Raiders +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Patriots vs Raiders predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Patriots vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Raiders at Gillette Stadium in Week 1 is the Patriots prevailing 23-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New England vs Las Vegas game in Week 1, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Patriots vs Raiders prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Patriots vs Raiders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Raiders? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Raiders.
Jeanty has a 15.0% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Raiders RB has a 49.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 11.2% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 8.0% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 6.9% probability
- Hunter Henry: 5.7% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 3.9% probability
Raiders First TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 15.0% probability
- Brock Bowers: 8.0% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 6.9% probability
- Dont'e Thornton: 4.3% probability
- Tre Tucker: 3.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 40.3% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 30.8% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 27.2% probability
- Hunter Henry: 22.8% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 16.2% probability
Raiders Anytime TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 49.5% probability
- Brock Bowers: 30.6% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 27.1% probability
- Dont'e Thornton: 17.7% probability
- Tre Tucker: 12.8% probability
Patriots-Raiders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 218 passing yards, while the Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 236 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 218 projected passing yards
Raiders Starting QB
- Geno Smith: 236 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- TreVeyon Henderson: 45 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 41 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 31 projected yards
Raiders Rushing Yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 70 projected yards
- Geno Smith: 12 projected yards
- Zamir White: 12 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 53 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 39 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 35 projected yards
- Kayshon Boutte: 23 projected yards
- TreVeyon Henderson: 22 projected yards
Raiders Receiving Yards
- Brock Bowers: 65 projected yards
- Jakobi Meyers: 59 projected yards
- Dont'e Thornton: 32 projected yards
- Tre Tucker: 31 projected yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 22 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the New England vs Las Vegas game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Raiders: Week 1 Essential Details
The NFL Week 1 match-up between the Patriots and Raiders at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders
- Date: Monday 8 September 2025
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our New England vs Las Vegas predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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