Patriots vs Jets Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2025
Last updated: Nov 14, 2025, 1:11AM | Published: Nov 7, 2025, 5:03AM
The New England Patriots will sqaure off with the New York Jets in NFL Week 11 action at Gillette Stadium on Friday, starting at 12:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Patriots vs Jets game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's New England vs NY Jets NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Patriots an 86% chance of defeating the Jets at Gillette Stadium.
Patriots vs Jets: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Patriots $1.14, Jets $6.00
- Line: Patriots -12.5 ($1.91), Jets +12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $1.14 and the Jets at $6.00.
The Patriots are listed as 12.5-point favourites against the Jets, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Jets (+12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Jets (+12.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 43-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Patriots vs Jets: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: New England at $1.14 with Bet365
- Line: Jets +12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 43 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Patriots vs Jets betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Patriots vs Jets: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Jets at Gillette Stadium in Week 11 is the Patriots winning 26-15.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New England vs NY Jets game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Patriots vs Jets: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Jets? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, New England's TreVeyon Henderson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Patriots vs Jets.
Henderson has a 14.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Patriots RB has a 52.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 14.3% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 9.1% probability
- Hunter Henry: 7.8% probability
- Drake Maye: 6.4% probability
- Mack Hollins: 6.1% probability
Jets First TD Tips
- Breece Hall: 7.5% probability
- Justin Fields: 5.6% probability
- Mason Taylor: 4.9% probability
- Isaiah Davis: 2.9% probability
- Tyler Johnson: 2.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 52.0% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 37.2% probability
- Hunter Henry: 33.1% probability
- Drake Maye: 28.0% probability
- Mack Hollins: 27.0% probability
Jets Anytime TD Tips
- Breece Hall: 32.3% probability
- Justin Fields: 25.3% probability
- Mason Taylor: 22.6% probability
- Isaiah Davis: 14.2% probability
- Tyler Johnson: 13.0% probability
Patriots-Jets Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 235 passing yards. The Jets' Justin Fields is expected to throw for just 144 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 235 projected passing yards
Jets Starting QB
- Justin Fields: 144 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- TreVeyon Henderson: 74 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 26 projected yards
- Terrell Jennings: 16 projected yards
Jets Rushing Yards
- Breece Hall: 67 projected yards
- Justin Fields: 40 projected yards
- Isaiah Davis: 15 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 62 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 46 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 41 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 32 projected yards
- Kyle Williams: 26 projected yards
Jets Receiving Yards
- Mason Taylor: 36 projected yards
- Tyler Johnson: 24 projected yards
- Adonai Mitchell: 22 projected yards
- Breece Hall: 18 projected yards
- Arian Smith: 17 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the New England vs NY Jets match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Jets: Week 11 Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 game between the Patriots and Jets at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:15pm AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs New York Jets
- Date: Friday 14 November 2025
- Time: 12:15pm AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our New England vs NY Jets predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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