Patriots vs Falcons Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 9, 2025
Last updated: Nov 2, 2025, 6:00PM | Published: Oct 26, 2025, 4:05AM
The New England Patriots will sqaure off with the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 9 action at Gillette Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Patriots vs Falcons game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's New England vs Atlanta NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Patriots a 67% chance of defeating the Falcons at Gillette Stadium.
Patriots vs Falcons: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Patriots $1.40, Falcons $3.05
- Line: Patriots -5.5 ($1.91), Falcons +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $1.40 and the Falcons at $3.05.
The Patriots are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Falcons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Falcons (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Falcons (+5.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Patriots vs Falcons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $3.05 with Bet365
- Line: Falcons +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Patriots vs Falcons betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Patriots have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Falcons to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Patriots vs Falcons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Falcons at Gillette Stadium in Week 9 is the Patriots winning 25-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New England vs Atlanta game in Week 9, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Patriots vs Falcons prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Patriots vs Falcons: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Falcons? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Falcons.
Robinson has a 12.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 48.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 9.6% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 7.8% probability
- Hunter Henry: 7.2% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 6.1% probability
- Drake Maye: 4.1% probability
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 12.6% probability
- Drake London: 7.2% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 6.5% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 5.1% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 5.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 42.1% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 35.7% probability
- Hunter Henry: 33.7% probability
- Kayshon Boutte: 29.4% probability
- Drake Maye: 20.9% probability
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 48.6% probability
- Drake London: 31.8% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 28.9% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 23.6% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 23.0% probability
Patriots-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 232 passing yards. The Falcons' Michael Penix is expected to throw for 232 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 232 projected passing yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Michael Penix: 232 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- TreVeyon Henderson: 55 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 31 projected yards
- Terrell Jennings: 27 projected yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 69 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 28 projected yards
- Michael Penix: 9 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 56 projected yards
- Kayshon Boutte: 43 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 35 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 27 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 25 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 68 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 45 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 45 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 38 projected yards
- KhaDarel Hodge: 16 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the New England vs Atlanta match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Falcons: Week 9 Essential Details
The NFL Week 9 match-up between the Patriots and Falcons at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Monday 3 November 2025
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our New England vs Atlanta predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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