Patriots vs Chargers Prediction and Preview - NFL Wild Card Round 2026
Last updated: Jan 12, 2026, 1:15AM | Published: Jan 5, 2026, 11:50AM
The New England Patriots will take on the Los Angeles Chargers in the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs at Gillette Stadium on Monday, commencing at 12:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Patriots vs Chargers game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's New England vs LA Chargers NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Patriots a 63% chance of defeating the Chargers at Gillette Stadium.
Patriots vs Chargers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Patriots $1.50, Chargers $2.65
- Line: Patriots -3.5 ($1.91), Chargers +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $1.50 and the Chargers at $2.65.
The Patriots are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Chargers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Chargers (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Patriots and the Chargers have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 46-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Patriots vs Chargers: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: LA Chargers at $2.65 with Bet365
- Line: Chargers +3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Patriots vs Chargers betting tips are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Patriots have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Chargers to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Patriots vs Chargers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Chargers at Gillette Stadium this Monday is the Patriots winning 24-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the New England vs LA Chargers game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Patriots vs Chargers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs Chargers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, New England's TreVeyon Henderson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Chargers.
Henderson has a 10.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Patriots RB has a 47.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 10.2% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.3% probability
- Hunter Henry: 6.3% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 5.7% probability
- Drake Maye: 5.2% probability
Chargers First TD Tips
- Omarion Hampton: 9.5% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 6.9% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 6.9% probability
- Keenan Allen: 5.5% probability
- Oronde Gadsden: 3.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 47.8% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 44.7% probability
- Hunter Henry: 33.1% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 30.4% probability
- Drake Maye: 28.0% probability
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- Omarion Hampton: 44.4% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 34.9% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 34.7% probability
- Keenan Allen: 29.1% probability
- Oronde Gadsden: 20.4% probability
Patriots-Chargers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 246 passing yards, while the Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 228 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 246 projected passing yards
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 228 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- TreVeyon Henderson: 53 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 39 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 28 projected yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- Omarion Hampton: 49 projected yards
- Kimani Vidal: 33 projected yards
- Justin Herbert: 32 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 63 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 44 projected yards
- Kayshon Boutte: 36 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 29 projected yards
- Kyle Williams: 20 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Ladd McConkey: 47 projected yards
- Quentin Johnston: 42 projected yards
- Keenan Allen: 40 projected yards
- Oronde Gadsden: 34 projected yards
- Tre' Harris: 24 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the New England vs LA Chargers match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Chargers: Essential Details
The match-up between the Patriots and Chargers at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:15pm AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers
- Playoff Round: NFL Wild Card Weekend
- Date: Monday 12 January 2026
- Time: 12:15pm AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our New England vs LA Chargers predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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