Patriots vs Chargers Prediction and Preview - NFL Wild Card Round 2026
Last updated: Jan 7, 2026, 4:51AM | Published: Jan 5, 2026, 11:50AM
The New England Patriots will sqaure off with the Los Angeles Chargers in the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs at Gillette Stadium on Monday, beginning at 12:00pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Patriots vs Chargers game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's New England vs LA Chargers NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Patriots a 63% chance of beating the Chargers at Gillette Stadium.
Patriots vs Chargers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Gillette Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Patriots $1.49, Chargers $2.70
- Line: Patriots -3.5 ($1.91), Chargers +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Patriots at $1.49 and the Chargers at $2.70.
The Patriots are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Chargers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Chargers (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Patriots and the Chargers have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 46-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Patriots vs Chargers: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: LA Chargers at $2.70 with Bet365
- Line: Chargers +3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 46 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Patriots vs Chargers best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Patriots have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Chargers to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Patriots vs Chargers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Patriots vs Chargers at Gillette Stadium on Monday is the Patriots winning 25-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New England vs LA Chargers game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Patriots vs Chargers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs Chargers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Omarion Hampton is the most likely player to score the first TD in Patriots vs Chargers.
Hampton has a 9.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Chargers RB has a 43.7% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots First TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 9.1% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 8.6% probability
- Hunter Henry: 6.7% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 6.4% probability
- Drake Maye: 4.8% probability
Chargers First TD Tips
- Omarion Hampton: 9.5% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 5.8% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 5.7% probability
- Keenan Allen: 4.7% probability
- Kimani Vidal: 4.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- TreVeyon Henderson: 41.5% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 39.7% probability
- Hunter Henry: 32.6% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 31.4% probability
- Drake Maye: 24.8% probability
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- Omarion Hampton: 43.7% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 29.4% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 29.2% probability
- Keenan Allen: 24.9% probability
- Kimani Vidal: 23.5% probability
Patriots-Chargers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 247 passing yards, while the Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 230 yards.
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 247 projected passing yards
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 230 projected passing yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- TreVeyon Henderson: 53 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 40 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 27 projected yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- Omarion Hampton: 69 projected yards
- Justin Herbert: 31 projected yards
- Kimani Vidal: 17 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 59 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 46 projected yards
- Kayshon Boutte: 35 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 25 projected yards
- Kyle Williams: 21 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Ladd McConkey: 46 projected yards
- Quentin Johnston: 41 projected yards
- Keenan Allen: 40 projected yards
- Oronde Gadsden: 34 projected yards
- Tre' Harris: 23 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the New England vs LA Chargers game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Patriots vs Chargers: Essential Details
The game between the Patriots and Chargers at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:00pm AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers
- Playoff Round: NFL Wild Card Weekend
- Date: Monday 12 January 2026
- Time: 12:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our New England vs LA Chargers predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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