Panthers vs Roosters Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2026
Last updated: Sep 13, 2026, 6:05AM | Published: Sep 6, 2026, 11:46PM
The Panthers will take on the Roosters in NRL Finals Week 1 action at Panthers Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Panthers vs Roosters game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Penrith vs Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Panthers a 75% chance of beating the Roosters at Panthers Stadium.
Panthers vs Roosters: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Panthers Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Panthers $1.37, Roosters $3.00
- Line: Panthers -8.5 ($1.91), Roosters +8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Panthers at $1.37 and the Roosters at $3.00.
The Panthers are listed as 8.5-point favourites against the Roosters, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Roosters (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Panthers (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Panthers vs Roosters: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Panthers at $1.37 with Bet365
- Line: Panthers -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Panthers vs Roosters betting tips are based on detailed simulations and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Panthers vs Roosters: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Panthers vs Roosters at Panthers Stadium this Sunday is the Panthers winning 27-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Panthers vs Roosters match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Panthers vs Roosters: Try Scorers
Searching for Panthers vs Roosters try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Panthers' Thomas Jenkins is the most likely player to score the first try in Penrith vs Sydney.
Jenkins has a 11.5% chance of scoring the first try at Panthers Stadium, while the Panthers star has a 56.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Penrith Panthers
- Thomas Jenkins: 11.5% probability
- Brian To'o: 8.7% probability
- Casey McLean: 8.0% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 5.3% probability
- Blaize Talagi: 5.2% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 7.9% probability
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 6.6% probability
- James Tedesco: 5.2% probability
- Robert Toia: 4.2% probability
- Billy Smith: 3.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Penrith Panthers
- Thomas Jenkins: 56.3% probability
- Brian To'o: 45.4% probability
- Casey McLean: 43.2% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 32.1% probability
- Blaize Talagi: 30.2% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 42.2% probability
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 39.1% probability
- James Tedesco: 31.9% probability
- Billy Smith: 25.8% probability
- Robert Toia: 25.2% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Panthers vs Roosters match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Panthers vs Roosters: Essential Details
The NRL Finals clash between the Panthers and Roosters at Panthers Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters
- Date: Sunday 13 September 2026
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: Panthers Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Panthers vs Roosters predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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