Padres vs Royals Prediction and MLB Tips - 21 June 2025
Last updated: Jun 21, 2025, 1:41AM | Published: Jun 20, 2025, 2:28AM
The San Diego Padres will sqaure off with the Kansas City Royals in MLB action at PETCO Park on Saturday, commencing at 11:40am AEST.
The Padres will send Nick Pivetta (7-2, 3.40 ERA) to the mound, while the Royals are going with Michael Lorenzen (4-7, 4.91 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Padres vs Royals game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's San Diego vs Kansas City MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Padres a 59% chance of beating the Royals at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Royals: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Padres $1.61, Royals $2.40
- Line: Padres -1.5 ($2.20), Royals +1.5 ($1.72)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $1.61 and the Royals at $2.40.
The Padres are 1.5-run favourites against the Royals, with odds of $2.20 available at TAB.
For the underdog Royals (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.72.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Royals (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Padres vs Royals: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $2.40 with TAB
- Line: Royals +1.5 at $1.72 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Padres vs Royals betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Padres have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Royals to win is our recommended option due to the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Padres vs Royals: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the San Diego vs Kansas City game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the San Diego vs Kansas City match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Royals: Essential Details
The match-up between the Padres and Royals at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 11:40am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals
- Date: Saturday 21 June 2025
- Time: 11:40am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs Kansas City predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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