Padres vs Reds Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 11, 2025, 12:40AM | Published: Sep 9, 2025, 8:32PM
The San Diego Padres will take on the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at PETCO Park on Thursday, starting at 10:40am AEST.
The Padres will have Nick Pivetta (13-5, 2.85 ERA) start, while the Reds are going with Andrew Abbott (8-6, 2.88 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Padres vs Reds game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's San Diego vs Cincinnati MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Padres a 59% chance of beating the Reds at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Reds: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Padres $1.67, Reds $2.25
- Line: Padres -1.5 ($2.50), Reds +1.5 ($1.56)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $1.67 and the Reds at $2.25.
The Padres are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Reds, with odds of $2.50 available at TAB.
For the underdog Reds (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.56.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Reds (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Padres vs Reds: Best Bets
- Head to Head: San Diego at $1.67 with TAB
- Line: Padres -1.5 at $2.50 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Padres vs Reds betting tips are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Even though the Reds are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Padres -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Padres vs Reds: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the San Diego vs Cincinnati game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the San Diego vs Cincinnati game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Reds: Essential Details
The game between the Padres and Reds at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 10:40am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Thursday 11 September 2025
- Time: 10:40am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs Cincinnati predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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