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Padres vs Red Sox Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 August 2025

The San Diego Padres will take on the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at PETCO Park on Monday, beginning at 6:10am AEST.

Dylan Cease (4-10, 4.60 ERA) will be on the bump for the Padres, while the Red Sox are going with Brayan Bello (8-5, 3.03 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Padres vs Red Sox game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's San Diego vs Boston MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Padres a 60% chance of winning against the Red Sox at PETCO Park.

Padres vs Red Sox: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at PETCO Park are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Padres $1.67, Red Sox $2.25
  • Line: Padres -1.5 ($2.50), Red Sox +1.5 ($1.56)
  • Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $1.67 and the Red Sox at $2.25.

The Padres are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Red Sox, with odds of $2.50 available at TAB.

For the underdog Red Sox (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.56.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Red Sox (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Padres vs Red Sox: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: San Diego at $1.67 with TAB
  • Line: Padres -1.5 at $2.50 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Our Padres vs Red Sox best bets are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Even though the Red Sox are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Padres -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.

Padres vs Red Sox: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the San Diego vs Boston game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the San Diego vs Boston match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Padres vs Red Sox: Essential Details

The game between the Padres and Red Sox at PETCO Park is scheduled to begin at 6:10am AEST on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our San Diego vs Boston predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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