Padres vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 14 July 2025

The San Diego Padres will face the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at PETCO Park on Monday, starting at 6:10am AEST.

Nick Pivetta (9-2, 3.07 ERA) will get the ball for the Padres, up against Cristopher Sánchez (7-2, 2.59 ERA) for the Phillies.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Padres vs Phillies game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's San Diego vs Philadelphia MLB game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 53% chance of beating the Padres at PETCO Park.

Padres vs Phillies: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed here:

• Head to Head: Padres $2.15, Phillies $1.74
• Line: Padres +1.5 ($1.65), Phillies -1.5 ($2.29)
• Total (Over/Under 7 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $2.15 and the Phillies at $1.74.

The Padres are 1.5-run underdogs against the Phillies, with odds of $1.65 available at TAB.

For the favourite Phillies (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.29.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 7-run over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.

Padres vs Phillies: Best Bets

• Head to Head: San Diego at $2.15 with TAB
• Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.65 with TAB
• Total Runs: Under 7 at $1.91 with TAB

These Padres vs Phillies best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Padres to win is our recommended option because of the 2.0% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 7 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.

Padres vs Phillies: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the San Diego vs Philadelphia game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the San Diego vs Philadelphia game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Padres vs Phillies: Essential Details

The match-up between the Padres and Phillies at PETCO Park is scheduled to commence at 6:10am AEST on Monday.

• Teams: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Monday 14 July 2025
• Time: 6:10am AEST
• Venue: PETCO Park

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our San Diego vs Philadelphia predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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