Padres vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 14 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 13, 2025, 2:05PM | Published: Jul 12, 2025, 8:29PM
The San Diego Padres will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at PETCO Park on Monday, commencing at 6:10am AEST.
Nick Pivetta (9-2, 3.07 ERA) will get the ball for the Padres, while the Phillies will counter with Cristopher Sánchez (7-2, 2.59 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Padres vs Phillies game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's San Diego vs Philadelphia MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 52% chance of winning against the Padres at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Phillies: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at PETCO Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Padres $2.15, Phillies $1.74
- Line: Padres +1.5 ($1.65), Phillies -1.5 ($2.29)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $2.15 and the Phillies at $1.74.
The Padres are 1.5-run underdogs against the Phillies, with odds of $1.65 available at TAB.
For the favourite Phillies (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.29.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 62% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Padres vs Phillies: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: San Diego at $2.15 with TAB
- Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.65 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Padres vs Phillies best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Padres to win is our recommended option due to the 3.1% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Padres vs Phillies: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the San Diego vs Philadelphia game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the San Diego vs Philadelphia game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Phillies: Essential Details
The game between the Padres and Phillies at PETCO Park is scheduled to commence at 6:10am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Monday 14 July 2025
- Time: 6:10am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs Philadelphia predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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