Padres vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 13 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 12, 2025, 4:55AM | Published: Jul 11, 2025, 6:34PM
The San Diego Padres will face the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at PETCO Park on Sunday, commencing at 9:35am AEST.
The Padres will send Yu Darvish (0-1, 4.91 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Zack Wheeler (9-3, 2.17 ERA) for the Phillies.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Padres vs Phillies game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's San Diego vs Philadelphia MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 56% chance of defeating the Padres at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Phillies: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Padres $2.25, Phillies $1.67
- Line: Padres +1.5 ($1.70), Phillies -1.5 ($2.18)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $2.25 and the Phillies at $1.67.
The Padres are 1.5-run underdogs against the Phillies, with odds of $1.70 available at TAB.
For the favourite Phillies (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.18.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Padres vs Phillies: Best Bets
- Head to Head: San Diego at $2.25 with TAB
- Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.70 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Padres vs Phillies betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Padres to win is our preferred option because of the 1.6% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Padres vs Phillies: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the San Diego vs Philadelphia game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the San Diego vs Philadelphia match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Phillies: Essential Details
The game between the Padres and Phillies at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 9:35am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Sunday 13 July 2025
- Time: 9:35am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs Philadelphia predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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