Padres vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 12 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 12, 2025, 1:41AM | Published: Jul 11, 2025, 2:28AM
The San Diego Padres will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at PETCO Park on Saturday, starting at 11:40am AEST.
The Padres will send Ryan Bergert (1-0, 2.67 ERA) to the mound, up against Ranger Suárez (7-2, 1.99 ERA) for the Phillies.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Padres vs Phillies game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's San Diego vs Philadelphia MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 57% chance of defeating the Padres at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Phillies: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Padres $2.40, Phillies $1.61
- Line: Padres +1.5 ($1.83), Phillies -1.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $2.40 and the Phillies at $1.61.
The Padres are 1.5-run underdogs against the Phillies, with odds of $1.83 available at TAB.
For the favourite Phillies (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.00.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Padres vs Phillies: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: San Diego at $2.40 with TAB
- Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.83 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Padres vs Phillies betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Padres to win is our preferred option because of the 2.6% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Padres vs Phillies: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the San Diego vs Philadelphia game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the San Diego vs Philadelphia game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Phillies: Essential Details
The game between the Padres and Phillies at PETCO Park is scheduled to commence at 11:40am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Saturday 12 July 2025
- Time: 11:40am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs Philadelphia predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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