Padres vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 31 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 30, 2025, 8:10PM | Published: Jul 29, 2025, 7:35PM
The San Diego Padres will face the New York Mets in MLB action at PETCO Park on Thursday, starting at 6:10am AEST.
Yu Darvish (0-3, 9.18 ERA) will be on the bump for the Padres, while the Mets will counter with Clay Holmes (9-5, 3.40 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Padres vs Mets game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's San Diego vs NY Mets MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Padres a 51% chance of defeating the Mets at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Mets: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Padres $1.83, Mets $2.00
- Line: Padres -1.5 ($2.70), Mets +1.5 ($1.49)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $1.83 and the Mets at $2.00.
The Padres are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Mets, with odds of $2.70 available at TAB.
For the underdog Mets (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.49.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 66% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Padres vs Mets: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.00 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.49 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Padres vs Mets predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Padres have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our preferred option because of the 1.5% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Padres vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the San Diego vs NY Mets game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the San Diego vs NY Mets game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Mets: Essential Details
The match-up between the Padres and Mets at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 6:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs New York Mets
- Date: Thursday 31 July 2025
- Time: 6:10am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs NY Mets predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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