Padres vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 30 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 30, 2025, 1:41AM | Published: Jul 28, 2025, 8:31PM
The San Diego Padres will face the New York Mets in MLB action at PETCO Park on Wednesday, starting at 11:40am AEST.
Ryan Bergert (1-0, 2.84 ERA) will start for the Padres, while the Mets will counter with Sean Manaea (1-1, 2.19 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Padres vs Mets game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's San Diego vs NY Mets MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 54% chance of beating the Padres at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Mets: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Padres $2.05, Mets $1.80
- Line: Padres +1.5 ($1.62), Mets -1.5 ($2.35)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $2.05 and the Mets at $1.80.
The Padres are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Mets, with odds of $1.62 available at TAB.
For the favourite Mets (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.35.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Padres vs Mets: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.80 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.35 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Padres vs Mets predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Even though the Padres are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 8 is our best bet because of the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.
Padres vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the San Diego vs NY Mets game on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the San Diego vs NY Mets game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Mets: Essential Details
The game between the Padres and Mets at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 11:40am AEST on Wednesday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs New York Mets
- Date: Wednesday 30 July 2025
- Time: 11:40am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs NY Mets predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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