Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction and MLB Tips - 29 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 28, 2025, 7:10PM | Published: Sep 28, 2025, 8:28AM
The San Diego Padres will sqaure off with the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 195 of the National League Division Series at PETCO Park on Monday, starting at 5:10am AEST.
JP Sears (8-11, 5.12 ERA) will start for the Padres, pitting him against Brandon Pfaadt (13-8, 5.00 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Padres vs Diamondbacks game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's San Diego vs Arizona MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Padres a 55% chance of beating the Diamondbacks at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Padres $1.77, Diamondbacks $2.10
- Line: Padres -1.5 ($2.65), Diamondbacks +1.5 ($1.50)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $1.77 and the Diamondbacks at $2.10.
The Padres are 1.5-run favourites against the Diamondbacks, with odds of $2.65 available at TAB.
For the underdog Diamondbacks (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.50.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 59% of the time.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: San Diego at $1.77 with TAB
- Line: Padres -1.5 at $2.65 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Padres vs Diamondbacks betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though the Diamondbacks are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Padres -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the San Diego vs Arizona game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the San Diego vs Arizona game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Essential Details
The match-up between the Padres and Diamondbacks at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 5:10am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Monday 29 September 2025
- Time: 5:10am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs Arizona predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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