Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 10, 2025, 8:21PM | Published: Jul 10, 2025, 7:05PM
The San Diego Padres will face the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at PETCO Park on Friday, beginning at 11:40am AEST.
The Padres will have Randy Vásquez (3-4, 3.79 ERA) start, while the Diamondbacks are going with Eduardo Rodriguez (3-5, 5.78 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Padres vs Diamondbacks game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's San Diego vs Arizona MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Diamondbacks a 52% chance of defeating the Padres at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at PETCO Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Padres $2.00, Diamondbacks $1.83
- Line: Padres +1.5 ($1.61), Diamondbacks -1.5 ($2.40)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $2.00 and the Diamondbacks at $1.83.
The Padres are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Diamondbacks, with odds of $1.61 available at TAB.
For the favourite Diamondbacks (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.40.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Best Bets
- Head to Head: San Diego at $2.00 with TAB
- Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.61 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Padres vs Diamondbacks betting tips are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Diamondbacks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Padres to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the San Diego vs Arizona game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the San Diego vs Arizona game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Essential Details
The game between the Padres and Diamondbacks at PETCO Park is scheduled to begin at 11:40am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Friday 11 July 2025
- Time: 11:40am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs Arizona predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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