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Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 July 2025

The San Diego Padres will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at PETCO Park on Friday, commencing at 11:40am AEST.

The Padres will send Randy Vásquez (3-4, 3.79 ERA) to the mound, while the Diamondbacks will counter with Eduardo Rodriguez (3-5, 5.78 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Padres vs Diamondbacks game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's San Diego vs Arizona MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Diamondbacks a 53% chance of beating the Padres at PETCO Park.

Padres vs Diamondbacks: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Padres $2.05, Diamondbacks $1.80
  • Line: Padres +1.5 ($1.62), Diamondbacks -1.5 ($2.35)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $2.05 and the Diamondbacks at $1.80.

The Padres are 1.5-run underdogs against the Diamondbacks, with odds of $1.62 available at TAB.

For the favourite Diamondbacks (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.35.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Padres vs Diamondbacks: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: San Diego at $2.05 with TAB
  • Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.62 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

These Padres vs Diamondbacks betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Diamondbacks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Padres to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Padres vs Diamondbacks: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the San Diego vs Arizona game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the San Diego vs Arizona match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Padres vs Diamondbacks: Essential Details

The game between the Padres and Diamondbacks at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 11:40am AEST on Friday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our San Diego vs Arizona predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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