Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 10, 2025, 7:01PM | Published: Jul 9, 2025, 10:31PM
The San Diego Padres will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at PETCO Park on Friday, commencing at 11:40am AEST.
Randy Vásquez (3-4, 3.79 ERA) will be on the bump for the Padres, pitting him against Eduardo Rodriguez (3-5, 5.78 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Padres vs Diamondbacks game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's San Diego vs Arizona MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Diamondbacks a 52% chance of beating the Padres at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at PETCO Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Padres $2.00, Diamondbacks $1.83
- Line: Padres +1.5 ($1.61), Diamondbacks -1.5 ($2.40)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $2.00 and the Diamondbacks at $1.83.
The Padres are 1.5-run underdogs against the Diamondbacks, with odds of $1.61 available at TAB.
For the favourite Diamondbacks (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.40.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 62% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Best Bets
- Head to Head: San Diego at $2.00 with TAB
- Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.61 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Padres vs Diamondbacks best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Diamondbacks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Padres to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the San Diego vs Arizona game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the San Diego vs Arizona game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Essential Details
The game between the Padres and Diamondbacks at PETCO Park is scheduled to commence at 11:40am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Friday 11 July 2025
- Time: 11:40am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs Arizona predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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