Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction and MLB Tips - 10 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 10, 2025, 1:40AM | Published: Jul 8, 2025, 7:31PM
The San Diego Padres will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at PETCO Park on Thursday, commencing at 11:40am AEST.
The Padres will have Dylan Cease (3-8, 4.62 ERA) start, while the Diamondbacks will counter with Brandon Pfaadt (8-6, 5.42 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Padres vs Diamondbacks game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's San Diego vs Arizona MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Padres a 60% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks at PETCO Park.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at PETCO Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Padres $1.61, Diamondbacks $2.40
- Line: Padres -1.5 ($2.40), Diamondbacks +1.5 ($1.61)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Padres at $1.61 and the Diamondbacks at $2.40.
The Padres are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Diamondbacks, with odds of $2.40 available at TAB.
For the underdog Diamondbacks (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.61.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Best Bets
- Head to Head: San Diego at $1.61 with TAB
- Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 at $1.61 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Padres vs Diamondbacks predictions are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the San Diego vs Arizona game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the San Diego vs Arizona game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Padres vs Diamondbacks: Essential Details
The match-up between the Padres and Diamondbacks at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 11:40am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Thursday 10 July 2025
- Time: 11:40am AEST
- Venue: PETCO Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our San Diego vs Arizona predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.