Packers vs Falcons Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2026
Last updated: Sep 25, 2026, 12:11AM | Published: Sep 18, 2026, 4:02AM
The Green Bay Packers will take on the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 3 action at Lambeau Field on Friday, commencing at 10:15am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Packers vs Falcons game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Green Bay vs Atlanta NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Packers a 66% chance of beating the Falcons in Week 3 of the NFL season.
Packers vs Falcons: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at Lambeau Field are listed below:
- Head to Head: Packers $1.40, Falcons $3.05
- Line: Packers -4.5 ($1.91), Falcons +4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Packers at $1.40 and the Falcons at $3.05.
The Packers are 4.5-point favourites against the Falcons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Falcons (+4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Packers and the Falcons have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 43.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Packers vs Falcons: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $3.05 with Bet365
- Line: Falcons +4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Packers vs Falcons predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Packers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Falcons to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Packers vs Falcons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Packers vs Falcons at Lambeau Field in Week 3 is the Packers winning 23-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Green Bay vs Atlanta game in Week 3, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Packers vs Falcons: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Packers vs Falcons? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Packers vs Falcons.
Robinson has a 14.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Lambeau Field, while the Falcons RB has a 51.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Packers First TD Tips
- Christian Watson: 10.8% probability
- Tucker Kraft: 7.6% probability
- MarShawn Lloyd: 7.3% probability
- Matthew Golden: 6.4% probability
- Kaleb Johnson: 5.4% probability
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 14.8% probability
- Drake London: 7.9% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 5.0% probability
- Brian Robinson: 3.8% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 2.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Packers Anytime TD Tips
- Christian Watson: 42.8% probability
- Tucker Kraft: 32.4% probability
- MarShawn Lloyd: 31.4% probability
- Matthew Golden: 28.3% probability
- Kaleb Johnson: 24.5% probability
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 51.7% probability
- Drake London: 32.1% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 21.9% probability
- Brian Robinson: 17.2% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 12.0% probability
Packers-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Jordan Love is projected for 237 passing yards, while the Falcons' Michael Penix is expected to throw for 212 yards.
Packers Starting QB
- Jordan Love: 237 projected passing yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Michael Penix: 212 projected passing yards
Packers Rushing Yards
- Kaleb Johnson: 36 projected yards
- MarShawn Lloyd: 31 projected yards
- Chris Brooks: 21 projected yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 81 projected yards
- Brian Robinson: 26 projected yards
- Michael Penix: 9 projected yards
Packers Receiving Yards
- Christian Watson: 74 projected yards
- Matthew Golden: 60 projected yards
- Tucker Kraft: 47 projected yards
- Skyy Moore: 19 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 14 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 71 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 39 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 37 projected yards
- Jahan Dotson: 24 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 16 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Green Bay vs Atlanta match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Packers vs Falcons: Week 3 Essential Details
The NFL Week 3 match-up between the Packers and Falcons at Lambeau Field is scheduled to commence at 10:15am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Friday 25 September 2026
- Time: 10:15am AEST
- Venue: Lambeau Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Green Bay vs Atlanta predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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