Pacers vs Heat Prediction and NBA Tips - 11 January 2026
Last updated: Jan 11, 2026, 12:09AM | Published: Jan 10, 2026, 2:00PM
The Indiana Pacers will take on the favoured Miami Heat in NBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, commencing at 11:00am AEDT.
With the likes of Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith and Andrew Nembhard, the Pacers are aiming to beat a Heat side that includes Norman Powell, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Pacers vs Heat game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Indiana vs Miami NBA game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Heat a 68% chance of defeating the Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Pacers vs Heat: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse are listed below:
- Head to Head: Pacers $3.05, Heat $1.40
- Line: Pacers +6.5 ($1.91), Heat -6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 236 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Pacers at $3.05 and the Heat at $1.40.
The Pacers are 6.5-point underdogs against the Heat, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Heat (-6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 236 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pacers (+6.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 236-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Pacers vs Heat: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $1.40 with Bet365
- Line: Pacers +6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 236 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Pacers vs Heat betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Pacers vs Heat: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Pacers vs Heat at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday is the Heat winning 119-114.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Indiana vs Miami game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Pacers vs Heat prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Indiana vs Miami game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Pacers vs Heat: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Pacers and Heat at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat
- Date: Sunday 11 January 2026
- Time: 11:00am AEDT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Indiana vs Miami predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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