Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction - ATP Dubai 2026
Last updated: Feb 23, 2026, 7:16PM | Published: Feb 23, 2026, 2:28AM
Pablo Carreno Busta will sqaure off with Denis Shapovalov in the round of 32 at the 2026 ATP Dubai tournament on Tuesday.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Carreno Busta vs Shapovalov match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Carreno Busta-Shapovalov men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives Shapovalov a 64% chance of defeating Carreno Busta at the ATP Dubai tournament.
Carreno Busta vs Shapovalov: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's ATP Dubai match between Carreno Busta and Shapovalov are listed below:
- Head to Head: Carreno Busta $3.00, Shapovalov $1.40
- First Set: Carreno Busta $2.62, Shapovalov $1.50
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Carreno Busta at $3.00 and Shapovalov at $1.40.
TAB currently has odds for Carreno Busta to win the first set at $2.62 and odds for Shapovalov to win the first set at $1.50.
Carreno Busta vs Shapovalov: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carreno Busta at $3.00 with TAB
- First Set: Shapovalov at $1.72 with TAB (59% probability)
Our Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalov best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Shapovalov is more likely to win the match, taking Carreno Busta to win is the best option due to the 2.6% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor over the long run.
And while Shapovalov is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Shapovalov ($1.72) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Carreno Busta vs Shapovalov: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalov match at the ATP Dubai tournament, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Carreno Busta-Shapovalov match at the ATP Dubai tournament.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carreno Busta vs Shapovalov: ATP Dubai Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Dubai match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Denis Shapovalov is scheduled to start at 9:00pm AEDT.
- Match: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalov
- Date: Tuesday 24 February 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:00pm AEDT
- Event: ATP Dubai, UAE Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalov predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

