Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction - ATP Croatia Open 2026

Pablo Carreno Busta will take on Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the round of 16 at the 2026 ATP Croatia Open tournament on Thursday.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carreno Busta vs Ugo Carabelli match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Carreno Busta-Ugo Carabelli men's singles match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives Carreno Busta a 61% chance of winning against Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Croatia Open tournament.

Carreno Busta vs Ugo Carabelli: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Croatia Open match between Carreno Busta and Ugo Carabelli are shown here:

• Head to Head: Carreno Busta $1.57, Ugo Carabelli $2.37
• First Set: Carreno Busta $1.61, Ugo Carabelli $2.30

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Carreno Busta at $1.57 and Ugo Carabelli at $2.37.

TAB currently has odds for Carreno Busta to win the first set at $1.61 and odds for Ugo Carabelli to win the first set at $2.30.

Carreno Busta vs Ugo Carabelli: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Ugo Carabelli at $2.37 with TAB
• First Set: Ugo Carabelli at $1.72 with TAB (57% probability)

These Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli best bets are based on complex modelling and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Carreno Busta is more likely to win the match, taking Ugo Carabelli to win is the best option due to the edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable over the long run.

And while Carreno Busta is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Ugo Carabelli ($1.72) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Carreno Busta vs Ugo Carabelli: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match at the ATP Croatia Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live in-play probabilitiestips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Carreno Busta-Ugo Carabelli match at the ATP Croatia Open tournament.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Carreno Busta vs Ugo Carabelli: ATP Croatia Open Essential Details

The 2026 ATP Croatia Open match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Camilo Ugo Carabelli is scheduled to commence at 1:10am AEST.

• Match: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
• Date: Thursday 16 July 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:10am AEST
• Event: ATP Umag, Croatia Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on Tennis

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis match, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.