Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction - ATP Italian Open 2026
Last updated: May 6, 2026, 4:05AM | Published: May 6, 2026, 12:01AM
Pablo Carreno Busta will face Alejandro Tabilo in the round of 128 at the 2026 ATP Italian Open tournament on Wednesday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carreno Busta vs Tabilo match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Wednesday's Carreno Busta-Tabilo men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives Tabilo a 60% chance of defeating Carreno Busta at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Carreno Busta vs Tabilo: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's ATP Italian Open match between Carreno Busta and Tabilo are listed here:
- Head to Head: Carreno Busta $2.75, Tabilo $1.44
- First Set: Carreno Busta $2.50, Tabilo $1.53
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Carreno Busta at $2.75 and Tabilo at $1.44.
TAB currently has odds for Carreno Busta to win the first set at $2.50 and odds for Tabilo to win the first set at $1.53.
Carreno Busta vs Tabilo: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carreno Busta at $2.75 with TAB
- First Set: Tabilo at $1.83 with TAB (50% probability)
These Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo predictions are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Tabilo is more likely to win the match, betting on Carreno Busta to win is our preferred option due to the 3.5% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor over the long run.
And while Tabilo is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Tabilo ($1.83) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Carreno Busta vs Tabilo: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo match at the ATP Italian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live in-play probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Carreno Busta-Tabilo match at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carreno Busta vs Tabilo: ATP Italian Open Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Italian Open match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Alejandro Tabilo is scheduled to begin at 11:10pm AEST.
- Match: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo
- Date: Wednesday 6 May 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:10pm AEST
- Event: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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