Orioles vs Rays Prediction and MLB Tips - 25 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 24, 2025, 10:36PM | Published: Sep 23, 2025, 7:31PM
The Baltimore Orioles will sqaure off with the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 191 of the American League Division Series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday, starting at 8:35am AEST.
The Orioles will send Tyler Wells (2-0, 2.04 ERA) to the mound, up against Shane Baz (10-12, 4.99 ERA) for the Rays.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Orioles vs Rays game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Baltimore vs Tampa Bay MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Orioles a 52% chance of beating the Rays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Orioles vs Rays: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards are listed below:
- Head to Head: Orioles $1.80, Rays $2.05
- Line: Orioles -1.5 ($2.70), Rays +1.5 ($1.49)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Orioles at $1.80 and the Rays at $2.05.
The Orioles are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Rays, with odds of $2.70 available at TAB.
For the underdog Rays (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.49.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Rays (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 66% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 56% of the time.
Orioles vs Rays: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.05 with TAB
- Line: Rays +1.5 at $1.49 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Orioles vs Rays predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Orioles have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Rays to win is our preferred option because of the 1.0% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Orioles vs Rays: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Baltimore vs Tampa Bay game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Baltimore vs Tampa Bay match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Orioles vs Rays: Essential Details
The match-up between the Orioles and Rays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to commence at 8:35am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Thursday 25 September 2025
- Time: 8:35am AEST
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Baltimore vs Tampa Bay predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.