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Orioles vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 September 2025

The Baltimore Orioles will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday, starting at 8:35am AEST.

The Orioles will have Tyler Wells (1-0, 3.60 ERA) start, while the Pirates are going with Paul Skenes (10-9, 1.98 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Orioles vs Pirates game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Baltimore vs Pittsburgh MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Pirates a 56% chance of winning against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Orioles vs Pirates: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Orioles $2.30, Pirates $1.65
  • Line: Orioles +1.5 ($1.72), Pirates -1.5 ($2.20)
  • Total (Over/Under 7 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Orioles at $2.30 and the Pirates at $1.65.

The Orioles are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Pirates, with odds of $1.72 available at TAB.

For the favourite Pirates (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.20.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Orioles (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 7-run over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.

Orioles vs Pirates: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Baltimore at $2.30 with TAB
  • Line: Orioles +1.5 at $1.72 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Over 7 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Orioles vs Pirates predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Pirates have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Orioles to win is our recommended option because of the 2.3% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Orioles vs Pirates: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Baltimore vs Pittsburgh game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Baltimore vs Pittsburgh game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Orioles vs Pirates: Essential Details

The game between the Orioles and Pirates at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to start at 8:35am AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Baltimore vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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