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Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction and NBA Tips - 16 May 2025

The Denver Nuggets will face the Oklahoma City Thunder in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Ball Arena on Friday, beginning at 10:30am AEST.

With the likes of Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, the Nuggets are aiming to beat a Thunder line-up that includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Nuggets vs Thunder game, along with the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Denver vs Oklahoma City NBA Playoffs match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Thunder a 66% chance of defeating the Nuggets at Ball Arena.

Nuggets vs Thunder: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's NBA game at Ball Arena are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Nuggets $2.65, Thunder $1.50
  • Line: Nuggets +5 ($1.91), Thunder -5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 218 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Nuggets at $2.65 and the Thunder at $1.50.

The Nuggets are 5-point underdogs against the Thunder, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Thunder (-5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 218 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Nuggets (+5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 218-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.

Nuggets vs Thunder: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Oklahoma City at $1.50 with Bet365
  • Line: Nuggets +5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Over 218 at $1.91 with Bet365

Our Nuggets vs Thunder predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Nuggets vs Thunder: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Nuggets vs Thunder at Ball Arena on Friday is the Thunder prevailing 111-106.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Denver vs Oklahoma City game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.

For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Nuggets vs Thunder prediction, put together by experts in the US.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Denver vs Oklahoma City match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Nuggets vs Thunder: Essential Details

The NBA game between the Nuggets and Thunder in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 10:30am AEST on Friday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Denver vs Oklahoma City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NBA

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, predictions for every NBA game, and futures odds for the NBA.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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