Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction and NBA Tips - 12 May 2025
Last updated: May 11, 2025, 7:40PM | Published: May 11, 2025, 9:00AM
The Denver Nuggets will sqaure off with the favoured Oklahoma City Thunder in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Ball Arena on Monday, beginning at 5:30am AEST.
Led by star players Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, the Nuggets are looking to overcome a Thunder side that includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Nuggets vs Thunder game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Denver vs Oklahoma City NBA Playoffs game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Thunder a 70% chance of beating the Nuggets at Ball Arena.
Nuggets vs Thunder: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NBA game at Ball Arena are listed below:
- Head to Head: Nuggets $3.25, Thunder $1.36
- Line: Nuggets +7 ($1.91), Thunder -7 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 228 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Nuggets at $3.25 and the Thunder at $1.36.
The Nuggets are 7-point underdogs against the Thunder, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Thunder (-7) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 228 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Nuggets (+7) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 228-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Nuggets vs Thunder: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Denver at $3.25 with Bet365
- Line: Nuggets +7 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 228 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Nuggets vs Thunder best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nuggets to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Nuggets vs Thunder: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Nuggets vs Thunder at Ball Arena on Monday is the Thunder winning 117-111.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Denver vs Oklahoma City game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Nuggets vs Thunder prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Denver vs Oklahoma City game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Nuggets vs Thunder: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Nuggets and Thunder in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 5:30am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Monday 12 May 2025
- Time: 5:30am AEST
- Venue: Ball Arena
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Denver vs Oklahoma City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NBA
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, tips for every NBA game, and futures odds for the NBA.
