Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction and NBA Tips - 21 December 2025
Last updated: Dec 20, 2025, 6:42PM | Published: Dec 20, 2025, 12:06PM
The Denver Nuggets will take on the Houston Rockets in NBA action at Ball Arena on Sunday, commencing at 9:00am AEDT.
Led by the likes of Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson, the Nuggets are looking to overcome a Rockets side that includes Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Nuggets vs Rockets game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Denver vs Houston NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Rockets a 57% chance of defeating the Nuggets at Ball Arena.
Nuggets vs Rockets: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NBA game at Ball Arena are shown below:
- Head to Head: Nuggets $2.00, Rockets $1.83
- Line: Nuggets +1 ($1.91), Rockets -1 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 236 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Nuggets at $2.00 and the Rockets at $1.83.
The Nuggets are 1-point underdogs against the Rockets, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Rockets (-1) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 236 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Nuggets and the Rockets have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 236-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Nuggets vs Rockets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Denver at $2.00 with Bet365
- Line: Nuggets +1 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 236 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Nuggets vs Rockets predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice every time.
While the Rockets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nuggets to win is our preferred option because of the 2.1% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Nuggets vs Rockets: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Nuggets vs Rockets at Ball Arena on Sunday is the Rockets winning 118-116.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Denver vs Houston game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Nuggets vs Rockets prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Denver vs Houston match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Nuggets vs Rockets: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Nuggets and Rockets at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets
- Date: Sunday 21 December 2025
- Time: 9:00am AEDT
- Venue: Ball Arena
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Denver vs Houston predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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