Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction and NBA Tips - 12 February 2026
Last updated: Feb 11, 2026, 10:45PM | Published: Feb 11, 2026, 4:00PM
The Denver Nuggets will take on the Memphis Grizzlies in NBA action at Ball Arena on Thursday, starting at 1:00pm AEDT.
With star players Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic and Tim Hardaway, the Nuggets are looking to overcome a Grizzlies side that includes Ty Jerome, Jaylen Wells and GG Jackson.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Nuggets vs Grizzlies game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Denver vs Memphis NBA game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Nuggets an 84% chance of winning against the Grizzlies at Ball Arena.
Nuggets vs Grizzlies: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NBA game at Ball Arena are shown here:
- Head to Head: Nuggets $1.13, Grizzlies $6.25
- Line: Nuggets -14 ($1.91), Grizzlies +14 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 238.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Nuggets at $1.13 and the Grizzlies at $6.25.
The Nuggets are listed as 14-point favourites against the Grizzlies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Grizzlies (+14) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 238.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Grizzlies (+14) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 238.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Nuggets vs Grizzlies: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Memphis at $6.25 with Bet365
- Line: Grizzlies +14 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 238.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
These Nuggets vs Grizzlies predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Nuggets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Grizzlies to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Nuggets vs Grizzlies: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Nuggets vs Grizzlies at Ball Arena this Thursday is the Nuggets winning 124-112.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Denver vs Memphis game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Nuggets vs Grizzlies prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Denver vs Memphis game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Nuggets vs Grizzlies: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Nuggets and Grizzlies at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 1:00pm AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Thursday 12 February 2026
- Time: 1:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Ball Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Denver vs Memphis predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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