NSW vs QLD State of Origin Game 2 Prediction 2026
Last updated: Jun 16, 2026, 9:58PM | Published: Jun 16, 2026, 10:38AM
New South Wales will take on Queensland in Game 2 of the 2026 State of Origin series at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Wednesday, commencing at 8:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for State of Origin Game 2, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Game 2 of the 2026 State of Origin series 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 56% chance of winning against the Maroons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
NSW vs QLD Game 2: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's State of Origin clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: New South Wales $1.88, Queensland $1.96
- Line: New South Wales -1.5 ($1.91), Queensland +1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have New South Wales at $1.88 and QLD at $1.96.
New South Wales is a 1.5-point favourite against Queensland, with odds of $1.91 available at TAB.
For the underdog Queensland (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, NSW (-1.5) is predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
State of Origin Game 2: Best Bets
- Head to Head: New South Wales at $1.88 with TAB
- Line: NSW -1.5 at $1.91 with TAB
- Total Points: Under 42.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These State of Origin Game 2 predictions are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
State of Origin Game 2: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for State of Origin Game 2 at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Wednesday is the Blues prevailing 22-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of State of Origin Game 2 on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
State of Origin Game 2: Try Scorers
Who will score an anytime try in Game 2 of State of Origin? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Mark Nawaqanitawase is the most likely player to score the first try in NSW vs QLD.
Nawaqanitawase has a 7.9% chance of scoring the first try at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the NSW star has a 43.5% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New South Wales Blues
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 7.9% probability
- Brian To'o: 6.2% probability
- Tolutau Koula: 5.5% probability
- James Tedesco: 5.2% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 4.8% probability
Queensland Maroons
- Selwyn Cobbo: 7.3% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 7.0% probability
- Jojo Fifita: 6.2% probability
- Robert Toia: 4.2% probability
- Harry Grant: 3.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New South Wales Blues
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 43.5% probability
- Brian To'o: 37.5% probability
- Tolutau Koula: 34.0% probability
- James Tedesco: 32.4% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 32.0% probability
Queensland Maroons
- Selwyn Cobbo: 40.1% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 37.2% probability
- Jojo Fifita: 35.7% probability
- Robert Toia: 25.7% probability
- Harry Grant: 23.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the New South Wales vs Queensland game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every State of Origin match, plus predictions for every game of the 2026 NRL season.
NSW vs QLD Game 2: Essential Details
The State of Origin Game 2 between New South Wales and Queensland at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 8:05pm AEST on Wednesday.
- Teams: New South Wales vs Queensland
- Date: Wednesday 17 June 2026
- Time: 8:05pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our State of Origin Game 2 predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our State of Origin tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our State of Origin predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on State of Origin
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on State of Origin in Australia, with the latest State of Origin betting news and tips for every State of Origin game.
