NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 14, 2025, 1:18AM | Published: May 13, 2025, 2:18PM
Searching for the best NRL tips for Round 11? We have NRL Round 11 tips 2025 for every game this week.
Gain an edge in your NRL tipping competitions thanks to our data-driven NRL expert tips for Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season, the result of simulating each NRL match-up 10,000 times.
NRL Round 11 Tips and Predictions 2025
Round 11 of the NRL season features eight games, starting with the Knights vs Eels on Friday and ending with the Tigers vs Rabbitohs on Sunday.
These NRL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our NRL tips Round 11 2025 a go-to resource for NRL fans of every level.
NRL Tips Round 11 2025: Our Predictions
Detailed below are our predictions for each NRL clash in Round 11, 2025, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Knights vs Eels
Round 11 action kicks off with the Knights playing the Eels at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday. Our predictive analytics model projects Newcastle as having a 60% chance of winning, while the Eels have a 40% projected win chance.
Knights vs Eels is at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, May 16 at 6:00pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Bulldogs vs Roosters
In Friday night's game between the Bulldogs and the Roosters, Canterbury is the more likely winner, with our predictive model projecting a 70% chance for the Bulldogs. The Roosters, on the other hand, have a 30% chance of winning.
Bulldogs vs Roosters is at Stadium Australia on Friday, May 16 at 8:00pm.
More: NRL Premiership 2025 Tips
Dolphins vs Warriors
We are tipping the Warriors to win their game against the Dolphins this week, with our powerful NRL model projecting a 58% win probability for New Zealand. The Dolphins have a 42% chance of winning.
Dolphins vs Warriors is at on Saturday, May 17 at 3:00pm.
Cowboys vs Sea Eagles
With a win probability of 62%, our tip for this game is the Cowboys, while their opponents, the Sea Eagles, have a projected win chance of 38%.
Cowboys vs Sea Eagles is at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, May 17 at 5:30pm.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis
Sharks vs Storm
The Storm have a 63% chance of winning this week, compared to Cronulla's 37% chance of victory. This makes the Storm the team to tip at Shark Park.
Sharks vs Storm is at Shark Park on Saturday, May 17 at 7:35pm.
Broncos vs Dragons
The Broncos are favourites to win this one, with our model giving them a 77% chance, while the Dragons enter the weekend with a 23% chance of causing an upset at Suncorp Stadium.
Broncos vs Dragons is at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, May 18 at 2:00pm.
More: NRL Strength of Schedule
Raiders vs Titans
According to our predictive analytics model, the Raiders are the team to beat in this game, with Canberra's win probability at 80%. The Titans, on the other hand, have a 20% chance of winning.
Raiders vs Titans is at GIO Stadium Canberra on Sunday, May 18 at 4:05pm.
Tigers vs Rabbitohs
Our model is tipping the Tigers in this match, with Wests given a 61% chance of winning, while the Rabbitohs have a 39% chance of an upset win.
Tigers vs Rabbitohs is at Campbelltown Stadium on Sunday, May 18 at 6:15pm.
NRL Round 11 Tips 2025: Who to Tip
- Knights
- Bulldogs
- Warriors
- Cowboys
- Storm
- Broncos
- Raiders
- Tigers
Related: Predictions for Every NRL Game
NRL Tipping: Round 11 Games
- Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels
- Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters
- Dolphins vs New Zealand Warriors
- North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles
- Cronulla Sharks vs Melbourne Storm
- Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Canberra Raiders vs Gold Coast Titans
- Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
NRL Round 11 Bye Schedule: Who Has a Bye This Week
- New Zealand Warriors
- Penrith Panthers
The NRL Round 11 2025 tips and predictions in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
NRL Expert Tips Round 11 2025
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert NRL tips. Our NRL tips for this weekend are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our NRL Round 11 predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to NRL tipping.
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