NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 1, 2026
Mar 4, 2026, 9:39AM
Looking for help when it comes to your NRL tips for Round 1? We have NRL Round 1 tips 2026 for every game this week.
Get the edge in NRL tipping leagues with the help of our data-driven NRL expert tips for Round 1 of the 2026 NRL season, which come from simulating each NRL game 10,000 times.
NRL Round 1 Tips and Predictions 2026
There are six more games in Round 1 of the 2026 NRL season, with post-Vegas action continuing on Thursday with Storm vs Eels and finishing with the Dolphins vs Rabbitohs on Sunday.
The below NRL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our NRL tips Round 1 2026 a must-read resource for NRL tipsters of every level.
NRL Tips Round 1 2026: Our Predictions
Listed below are our predictions for each NRL game in Round 1, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Storm vs Eels
We are tipping the Storm to win their game against the Eels this week, with our model projecting a 73% win probability for Melbourne. The Eels have a 27% chance of winning.
Storm vs Eels is at AAMI Park on Thursday, March 5 at 8:00pm AEDT.
Warriors vs Roosters
With a win probability of 64%, our tip for this match is the Roosters, while their opponents, the Warriors, have a projected win chance of 36%.
Warriors vs Roosters is at Go Media Stadium on Friday, March 6 at 6:00pm AEDT.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis
Broncos vs Panthers
The Broncos have a 61% chance of winning on Friday night, compared to Penrith's 39% chance of victory. This makes the Broncos the team to tip at Suncorp Stadium.
Broncos vs Panthers is at Suncorp Stadium on Friday, March 6 at 8:00pm AEDT.
Sharks vs Titans
The Sharks are favourites to win this game, with our predictive analytics model giving them an 81% chance, while the Titans enter the weekend with a 19% chance of causing an upset at Shark Stadium.
Sharks vs Titans is at Shark Stadium on Saturday, March 7 at 5:30pm AEDT.
More: NRL Strength of Schedule
Sea Eagles vs Raiders
According to our predictive analytics model, the Sea Eagles are the team to beat in this game, with Manly's win probability at 61%. The Raiders, on the other hand, have a 39% chance of winning.
Sea Eagles vs Raiders is at Brookvale Oval on Saturday, March 7 at 7:35pm AEDT.
Dolphins vs Rabbitohs
We are tipping the Dolphins who have a 65% chance of winning the match, while the Rabbitohs have a 35% win probability.
Dolphins vs Rabbitohs is at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, March 8 at 4:05pm AEDT.
More: NRL Premiership 2026 Tips
NRL Round 1 Tips 2026: Who to Tip
- Cowboys
- Bulldogs
- Storm
- Roosters
- Broncos
- Sharks
- Sea Eagles
- Dolphins
Related: Predictions for Every NRL Game
NRL Tipping: Round 1 Games
- Newcastle Knights 28 vs 18 North Queensland Cowboys
- Canterbury Bulldogs 15 vs 14 St George Illawarra Dragons
- Melbourne Storm vs Parramatta Eels
- New Zealand Warriors vs Sydney Roosters
- Brisbane Broncos vs Penrith Panthers
- Cronulla Sharks vs Gold Coast Titans
- Manly Sea Eagles vs Canberra Raiders
- Dolphins vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
NRL Round 1 Bye Schedule: Who Has a Bye This Week
- Wests Tigers
The NRL Round 1 2026 tips and predictions in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
NRL Expert Tips Round 1 2026
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert NRL tips. Our NRL tips for this weekend are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our NRL Round 1 predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to NRL tipping.
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