NRL Tips for This Weekend - Finals Week 1, 2026
Last updated: Sep 7, 2026, 12:47AM | Published: Sep 6, 2026, 11:46PM
Looking for NRL tips for the second week of finals? We have NRL Week 1 finals tips 2026 for every match this weekend.
Get an edge in NRL tipping leagues thanks to our data-driven NRL expert tips for the first week of finals of the 2026 NRL season, which are the result of simulating each NRL match thousands of times.
NRL Finals Week 1 Tips and Predictions 2026
There is of course four games across the first week of finals of the 2026 NRL season, starting with the Rabbitohs vs Knights on Friday and concluding with the Panthers vs Roosters on Sunday.
These NRL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our NRL finals tips 2026 a must-read resource for NRL tipsters across the country.
NRL Tips Finals Week 1 2026: Our Predictions
Featured below are our predictions for every NRL clash across the first week of finals, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Rabbitohs vs Knights
Finals action in the NRL kicks off with the Rabbitohs facing the Knights at Stadium Australia on Friday. Our NRL model projects South Sydney as having a 75% chance of winning, while the Knights have a 25% win probability.
Rabbitohs vs Knights is at Stadium Australia on Friday, September 11 at 7:50pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Warriors vs Dolphins
In this week's game between the Warriors and the Dolphins, New Zealand is the more likely winner, with our predictive model projecting a 67% chance for the Warriors. On the other hand, the Dolphins have a 33% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Warriors vs Dolphins is at Go Media Stadium on Saturday, September 12 at 4:05pm.
More: NRL Premiership 2026 Tips
Sharks vs Cowboys
We are tipping the Sharks to win their game against the Cowboys this week, with our powerful NRL model projecting a 77% win probability for Cronulla. The Cowboys have a 23% chance of winning.
Sharks vs Cowboys is at Shark Stadium on Saturday, September 12 at 7:50pm.
Panthers vs Roosters
With a win probability of 76%, our tip for this game is the Panthers, while their opponents, the Roosters, have a projected win chance of 24%.
Panthers vs Roosters is at Panthers Stadium on Sunday, September 13 at 4:05pm.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis
NRL Finals Week 1 Tips 2026: Who to Tip
- Rabbitohs
- Warriors
- Sharks
- Panthers
Related: Predictions for Every NRL Finals Game
NRL Tipping: Finals Week 1 Games
- South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights
- New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins
- Cronulla Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys
- Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters
The NRL finals 2026 tips and predictions in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
NRL Expert Tips for Finals 2026
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert NRL tips. Our NRL tips for this weekend are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our NRL finals predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to NRL tipping.
If you decide to use our tips for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
As well as being your best resource for NRL footy tips, Stats Insider is your go-to site for NRL betting insights and analysis, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL match, weekly NRL best bets, and NRL futures probabilities.
