NRL Tips for This Weekend - Finals Week 1, 2025
Last updated: Sep 10, 2025, 1:19AM | Published: Sep 9, 2025, 2:19PM
Looking for NRL tips for the first week of finals? We have NRL Week 1 finals tips 2025 for every game this weekend.
Get an edge in your NRL tipping leagues thanks to our data-driven NRL expert tips for the first week of finals of the 2025 NRL season, which are the result of simulating each NRL game 10,000 times.
NRL Finals Week 1 Tips and Predictions 2025
There is of course four games across the first week of finals of the 2025 NRL season, starting with the Storm vs Bulldogs on Friday and finishing with the Raiders vs Broncos on Sunday.
These NRL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our NRL finals tips 2025 a must-read resource for NRL fans.
NRL Tips Finals Week 1 2025: Our Predictions
Featured below are our predictions for every NRL game across the first week of finals, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Storm vs Bulldogs
2023 Finals action in the NRL kicks off with the Storm playing the Bulldogs at AAMI Park on Friday night. Our NRL model projects Melbourne as having a 61% chance of winning, while the Bulldogs have a 39% projected win chance.
Storm vs Bulldogs is at AAMI Park on Friday, September 12 at 7:50pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Warriors vs Panthers
In this week's game between the Warriors and the Panthers, Penrith is the more likely winner, with our predictive model projecting a 76% chance for the Panthers. On the other hand, the Warriors have a 24% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Warriors vs Panthers is at Go Media Stadium on Saturday, September 13 at 4:05pm.
More: NRL Premiership 2025 Tips
Sharks vs Roosters
We are tipping the Roosters to win their game against the Sharks this week, with our powerful NRL model projecting a 62% win probability for Sydney. The Sharks have a 38% chance of winning at Shark Park.
Sharks vs Roosters is at Shark Park on Saturday, September 13 at 7:50pm.
Raiders vs Broncos
With a win probability of 63%, our tip for this match is the Raiders, while their opponents, the Broncos, have a projected win chance of 37%.
Raiders vs Broncos is at GIO Stadium Canberra on Sunday, September 14 at 4:05pm.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis
NRL Finals Week 1 Tips 2025: Who to Tip
- Storm
- Panthers
- Roosters
- Raiders
Related: Predictions for Every NRL Finals Game
NRL Tipping: Finals Week 1 Games
- Melbourne Storm vs Canterbury Bulldogs
- New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
- Cronulla Sharks vs Sydney Roosters
- Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos
The NRL finals 2025 tips and predictions in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
NRL Expert Tips for Finals 2025
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert NRL tips. Our NRL tips for this weekend are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our NRL finals predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to NRL tipping.
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