Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction - US Open 2025
Last updated: Sep 5, 2025, 6:54PM | Published: Sep 4, 2025, 12:54AM
Novak Djokovic will take on Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals of the US Open Men's Singles 2025 on Saturday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Djokovic vs Alcaraz match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Djokovic-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz a 77% chance of winning against Djokovic in the US Open Men's Singles 2025.
Djokovic vs Alcaraz: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's US Open 2025 match between Djokovic and Alcaraz are shown here:
- Head to Head: Djokovic $4.00, Alcaraz $1.25
- First Set: Djokovic $2.75, Alcaraz $1.44
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Djokovic at $4.00 and Alcaraz at $1.25.
TAB currently has odds for Djokovic to win the first set at $2.75 and odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.44.
Djokovic vs Alcaraz: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Djokovic at $4.00 with TAB
- First Set: Alcaraz at $1.72 with TAB (58% probability)
Our Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, taking Djokovic to win is the best option because of the edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor over the long run.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Alcaraz ($1.72) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Djokovic vs Alcaraz: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the US Open 2025 tournament, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Djokovic-Alcaraz match in the US Open Men's Singles 2025.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Djokovic vs Alcaraz: US Open 2025 Essential Details
The US Open 2025 match between Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEST.
- Match: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Date: Saturday 6 September 2025
- Approx. Time: 5:00am AEST
- Event: US Open Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Semi-finals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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