North Melbourne vs Gold Coast Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2026
Last updated: May 25, 2026, 3:14AM | Published: May 17, 2026, 12:30PM
North Melbourne will sqaure off with Gold Coast in AFL Round 11 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 1:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the North Melbourne vs Gold Coast game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's North Melbourne vs Gold Coast AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Suns a 61% chance of beating the Kangaroos in Round 11 of the 2026 AFL season.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: North Melbourne $2.30, Gold Coast $1.62
- Line: North Melbourne +8.5 ($1.91), Gold Coast -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 189.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has North Melbourne at $2.30 and Gold Coast at $1.62.
The Kangaroos are 8.5-point underdogs against the Suns, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Suns (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 189.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Kangaroos (+8.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 189.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Gold Coast at $1.62 with Bet365
- Line: N Melbourne +8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 189.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our North Melbourne vs Gold Coast betting tips are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Gold Coast at Marvel Stadium on Saturday is Gold Coast winning 98-90.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the North Melbourne vs Gold Coast match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.North Melbourne vs Gold Coast: Goal Scorers
Searching for North Melbourne vs Gold Coast goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Gold Coast's Ben King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in North Melbourne vs Gold Coast.
King has a 12.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Suns star has a 98.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 8.7% probability
- Paul Curtis: 7.2% probability
- Cooper Trembath: 5.6% probability
- Jack Darling: 4.5% probability
- Zane Duursma: 3.5% probability
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 12.4% probability
- Ben Long: 5.8% probability
- Christian Petracca: 5.5% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 5.2% probability
- Jed Walter: 4.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 94.2% probability
- Paul Curtis: 90.2% probability
- Cooper Trembath: 83.9% probability
- Jack Darling: 74.0% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 69.6% probability
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 98.8% probability
- Christian Petracca: 81.5% probability
- Ben Long: 81.5% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 81.5% probability
- Jed Walter: 77.9% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the North Melbourne vs Gold Coast match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Kangaroos and Suns at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: North Melbourne vs Gold Coast
- Date: Saturday 23 May 2026
- Time: 1:15pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our North Melbourne vs Gold Coast predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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