North Melbourne vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2026

North Melbourne will face Essendon in AFL Round 16 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 3:15pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the North Melbourne vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's North Melbourne vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Kangaroos a 61% chance of beating the Bombers at Marvel Stadium.

North Melbourne vs Essendon: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:

• Head to Head: North Melbourne $1.47, Essendon $2.70
• Line: North Melbourne -13.5 ($1.91), Essendon +13.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has North Melbourne at $1.47 and Essendon at $2.70.

The Kangaroos are listed as 13.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Bombers (+13.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 175.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Bombers (+13.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 175.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.

North Melbourne vs Essendon: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Essendon at $2.70 with Bet365
• Line: Essendon +13.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 175.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

These North Melbourne vs Essendon best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Kangaroos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our recommended option due to the 1.6% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.

North Melbourne vs Essendon: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Essendon at Marvel Stadium on Sunday is North Melbourne winning 91-82.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the North Melbourne vs Essendon match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

North Melbourne vs Essendon: Goal Scorers

Are you looking for North Melbourne vs Essendon goalscorer tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, N Melbourne's Nick Larkey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in North Melbourne vs Essendon.

Larkey has a 10.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Kangaroos star has a 96.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

North Melbourne

• Nick Larkey: 10.8% probability
• Cooper Trembath: 7.6% probability
• Jack Darling: 7.2% probability
• Zane Duursma: 3.8% probability
• Cameron Zurhaar: 3.2% probability

Essendon

• Nate Caddy: 10.2% probability
• Isaac Kako: 5.1% probability
• Hussien Achkar: 3.3% probability
• Xavier Duursma: 2.9% probability
• Jye Caldwell: 2.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

North Melbourne

• Nick Larkey: 96.3% probability
• Jack Darling: 89.3% probability
• Cooper Trembath: 89.3% probability
• Zane Duursma: 66.0% probability
• Cameron Zurhaar: 60.1% probability

Essendon

• Nate Caddy: 96.2% probability
• Isaac Kako: 78.4% probability
• Hussien Achkar: 66.6% probability
• Xavier Duursma: 55.6% probability
• Sullivan Robey: 55.6% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the North Melbourne vs Essendon match.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

North Melbourne vs Essendon: Essential Details

The AFL Round 16 clash between the Kangaroos and Bombers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:15pm AEST on Sunday.

• Teams: North Melbourne vs Essendon
• Date: Sunday 28 June 2026
• Time: 3:15pm AEST
• Venue: Marvel Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our North Melbourne vs Essendon predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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