North Melbourne vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2026

North Melbourne will sqaure off with Carlton in AFL Round 4 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, beginning at 3:15pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the North Melbourne vs Carlton game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's North Melbourne vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 60% chance of beating the Kangaroos in Round 4 of the 2026 AFL season.

North Melbourne vs Carlton: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:

• Head to Head: North Melbourne $2.20, Carlton $1.68
• Line: North Melbourne +6.5 ($1.91), Carlton -6.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 180.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has North Melbourne at $2.20 and Carlton at $1.68.

The Kangaroos are 6.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Blues (-6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 180.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Blues (-6.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 180.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.

North Melbourne vs Carlton: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Carlton at $1.68 with Bet365
• Line: Carlton -6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 180.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Today's North Melbourne vs Carlton betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

North Melbourne vs Carlton: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Carlton at Marvel Stadium this Friday is Carlton winning 93-85.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the North Melbourne vs Carlton match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

North Melbourne vs Carlton: Goal Scorers

Looking for North Melbourne vs Carlton goal kicker tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, N Melbourne's Nick Larkey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in North Melbourne vs Carlton.

Larkey has a 6.7% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Kangaroos star has an 88.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

North Melbourne

• Nick Larkey: 6.7% probability
• Cooper Trembath: 6.2% probability
• Cameron Zurhaar: 5.8% probability
• Paul Curtis: 4.6% probability
• Jack Darling: 3.7% probability

Carlton

• Harry McKay: 6.7% probability
• Will Hayward: 5.2% probability
• Ben Ainsworth: 4.8% probability
• Francis Evans: 4.3% probability
• Brodie Kemp: 4.2% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

North Melbourne

• Nick Larkey: 88.2% probability
• Cooper Trembath: 84.8% probability
• Cameron Zurhaar: 83.1% probability
• Paul Curtis: 74.6% probability
• Jack Darling: 68.1% probability

Carlton

• Harry McKay: 87.8% probability
• Will Hayward: 80.5% probability
• Ben Ainsworth: 77.3% probability
• Francis Evans: 73.5% probability
• Brodie Kemp: 72.5% probability

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the North Melbourne vs Carlton match.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

North Melbourne vs Carlton: Essential Details

The AFL Round 4 clash between the Kangaroos and Blues at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:15pm AEDT on Friday.

• Teams: North Melbourne vs Carlton
• Date: Friday 3 April 2026
• Time: 3:15pm AEDT
• Venue: Marvel Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our North Melbourne vs Carlton predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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